View our NBA standings and league projections, aimed to calculate percentage probabilities for each team’s finish for winning their division, reaching the playoffs, winning the conference and winning the NBA Championship.

See how we calculate our Projections Methodology

NBA League Projections

Western Conference
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NorthwestWL%pWpLDIVPLAYCONFCHAMP
Thunder000.50053.428.672.5%92.2%25.4%15.7%
Trailblazers000.50047.934.122.8%74.4%3.0%0.0%
Nuggets000.50042.339.74.7%40.5%0.7%0.3%
Timberwolves000.50028.853.20.0%0.3%0.0%0.0%
Jazz000.50026.155.90.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%
PacificWL%pWpLDIVPLAYCONFCHAMP
Clippers000.50054.527.572.7%97.2%20.6%10.7%
Warriors000.50049.033.023.3%84.5%7.4%2.7%
Suns000.50042.539.53.9%40.2%0.6%0.1%
Lakers000.50030.951.10.0%1.1%0.0%0.0%
Kings000.50029.952.10.1%0.7%0.0%0.0%
SouthwestWL%pWpLDIVPLAYCONFCHAMP
Spurs000.50056.225.868.6%98.8%26.2%16.9%
Rockets000.50048.733.311.9%78.0%6.5%1.9%
Mavericks000.50048.034.010.3%77.8%4.1%1.5%
Grizzlies000.50047.534.58.1%76.1%5.1%3.1%
Pelicans000.50041.940.11.0%38.1%0.4%0.2%
Eastern Conference
AtlanticWL%pWpLDIVPLAYCONFCHAMP
Raptors000.50047.734.369.6%90.2%6.7%3.6%
Nets000.50041.340.717.2%68.5%1.3%0.0%
Knicks000.50040.241.813.1%61.8%1.2%0.2%
Celtics000.50027.754.30.2%1.7%0.0%0.0%
76ers000.50016.465.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
CentralWL%pWpLDIVPLAYCONFCHAMP
Cavaliers000.50057.624.469.3%100.0%47.2%25.5%
Bulls000.50053.728.330.5%100.0%24.6%12.3%
Pistons000.50036.345.70.1%30.9%0.4%0.1%
Pacers000.50034.247.80.1%20.1%0.2%0.1%
Bucks000.50024.357.70.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%
SoutheastWL%pWpLDIVPLAYCONFCHAMP
Wizards000.50046.935.145.3%95.6%10.4%2.7%
Heat000.50043.738.324.2%85.3%3.2%1.3%
Hornets000.50042.239.815.3%71.3%2.3%0.4%
Hawks000.50042.239.815.3%71.3%2.5%0.7%
Magic000.50028.253.80.0%2.6%0.0%0.0%

Legend

W: Wins
L: Losses
%: Winning Percentage
pW: Projected Win Total
pL: Projected Loss Total
DIV: Probability of Winning Respective Division
PLAY: Probability of Making Playoffs
CONF: Probability of Winning Respective Conference
CHAMP: Probability of Winning NBA title

Projections Methodology

The projected league standings reflect each team’s expected end of season record. These records are arrived at through a process in which the first step is estimating each team’s expected true performance in the form of power ratings.

The power ratings take into consideration roster construction, the overall skill level of a team, current or potential injuries, coaching changes, effort level, and numerous other factors. These ratings are adjusted throughout the season accordingly.

With the ratings in mind, the season is simulated 100,000 times and generates the table you see here. Each simulated game on the schedule weighs the teams’ expected power ratings along with home court advantage and any other factors that could potentially come into play.

The average number of wins and losses for each team are pulled out to get the projected records, as well as how often the team makes the playoffs, wins its division, wins its conference, or wins the championship.

The simulation is run every day and accounts for all previous game results, which in turn constantly updates the projections.